🇦🇹 Austria vs Jordan 🇯🇴

Austria's expected goals (xG) of 1.84 reflects a clear attacking advantage over Jordan's 0.86, driven by Austria's superior pressing efficiency and chance creation in the final third, which aligns with their top-25 FIFA ranking and recent form in European qualifiers.

Jordan's win probability of just 17.1% is heavily influenced by their low xG output and defensive fragility against high-pressing sides; Austria's midfield control, likely through players like Xaver Schlager, should limit Jordan's transition opportunities, a key statistical weakness.

This is Austria's first World Cup appearance since 1998, and their xG differential (+0.98) suggests they are well-prepared to advance from a group stage where they are favored; Jordan, making only their second appearance, historically struggles against European opposition, with a 0-3-1 record in World Cup matches.

The most likely scoreline of 1-0 (12.4% probability) and second most likely 2-0 (11.4%) indicate a controlled, low-scoring win for Austria, consistent with their xG advantage and Jordan's tendency to concede late goals—40% of their conceded goals in qualifiers came after the 75th minute.